🍒 Good Job, Stupid: Poker Room-Induced Tilt and How NOT to End a Downswing | Cardplayer Lifestyle

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Honing his skills at microstakes online poker allowed Nathan Williams to quit his If you've played poker at these stakes before, you know that the pots rarely breach the one dollar mark. It was kind of stupid to be honest.


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The spinal surgeon, the startup wunderkind, the hedge fund billionaire are the kinds of fish you play against at higher stakes. Being smart doesn't make you a good.


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rating.bonusmoneygames.site › Poker Strategy › Poker Psychology.


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Honing his skills at microstakes online poker allowed Nathan Williams to quit his If you've played poker at these stakes before, you know that the pots rarely breach the one dollar mark. It was kind of stupid to be honest.


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Honing his skills at microstakes online poker allowed Nathan Williams to quit his If you've played poker at these stakes before, you know that the pots rarely breach the one dollar mark. It was kind of stupid to be honest.


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It'll seem stupid at first but bear with me; there are useful poker nuggets here. And it's true - all professional players of poker operate under the assumption luck​.


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In online poker, they are playing twice as much, 60 hands per hour. In addition to this, Online Poker is Rigged Because Bad Players Get Good Cards. Certainly Of course online poker is rigged and you have to be pretty stupid to not see it.


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rating.bonusmoneygames.site › Poker Strategy › Poker Psychology.


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It'll seem stupid at first but bear with me; there are useful poker nuggets here. And it's true - all professional players of poker operate under the assumption luck​.


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rating.bonusmoneygames.site › Poker Strategy › Poker Psychology.


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Professors never come home from work with less money than they left with. The amount of play required to become a winner is so big that there is no chance that anyone who wanted to become professional poker players through a mathematical understanding of the game would actually have time to do it. Several high stakes pros have told me that their edge in the very toughest games actually comes from tilt control. There are , possible flops. Towards Data Science Follow. Neither do any of my friends who are professional poker players… But they know how to play the game. Subtract that number from if you have the best hand right now. Three-betting became all the rage, continuation betting flops became all the rage. The best poker players are not math PhD's. Instead, it comes from the fundamentals of the game, which only requires basic high school math. Copywriter, SEO, behavioral sciences. The only way you can really figure this out at scale is through data analysis. If a loose cannon starts tilting, a bad game quickly becomes a good game. Eryk Lewinson in Towards Data Science. Emmett Boudreau in Towards Data Science. Game theory optimal strategy makes sure you never lose, and any adjustment that your opponent makes that is not game theory optimal play makes sure that he loses. If enough people have a weakness, you now have a read on the current meta a so-called population read that allows you to exploit a vast pool of players. Beginners who get past the psychological aspect of the game eventually fall for the mathematics of the game, never to come out on the other side, as real players. A Medium publication sharing concepts, ideas, and codes. You can analyze a pool of players, and see what their ranges look like in certain situations. Let me explain. Nothing wrong with that. This is where off-table analysis becomes extremely useful. Chanin Nantasenamat in Towards Data Science. The holy grail of poker is game theory optimal play. The bright side is that the more people we have digging into these problems, the more solutions we will find. Of course, the rigorous logic that comes with mathematical thinking is extremely important in poker, but logic is not reserved for mathematicians. Written by Stian Pedersen Follow. Complex math in poker is only useful to players when they are boiled down to simple heuristics. Another hole in the meta was that no one ever folded top pair. Heuristics are a set of rules that help us increase the probability of solving a problem. There are 1, combinations of starting hands. If someone called, it meant they were on a draw or had a pair. We can use math to improve our general understanding of the game and, subsequently, our play, but the time put into the math is often not very rewarding compared to the time put into playing. You can use this type of analysis on a large scale as well. Good luck remembering even one percent of what to do on those boards with one of your 1, combinations. We use rules of thumb, also known as heuristics. The new kid on the statistics-in-Python block: pingouin. Logic goes out the window when emotions take over. You are left to your own devices, and under the pressure of time and potential loss of money, theoretical knowledge takes a hike. Back in the early s, players were very timid. These players stay in games that, on the surface, look incredibly bad, because one great player is prone to losing control and wasting a lot of money. You multiply your total number of outs by four on the flop or two on the turn to get an approximate percentage of your chances of hitting a draw. Sign in. It also makes it very dangerous for setting strategy. When skill is not the determining factor between winning and losing, emotional control, risk tolerance and whatever combination of other skills play a much more important role for the winrate of top poker players. Discover Medium. The world of science is very quiet compared to the highly volatile world of poker. The promise of game theory optimal poker is one of the greatest sales pitches ever to have been written. Chris in Towards Data Science. Julia Nikulski in Towards Data Science. How to process a DataFrame with billions of rows in seconds. Towards Data Science A Medium publication sharing concepts, ideas, and codes. Math kills the human aspect of the game, which makes it extremely valuable for analysis. If one of these good players could beat top pair, they would pound it as hard as they could. Whenever these good players got called, they stopped firing. Analysis allows you to understand the game at a much deeper level, and lets you develop some very advanced heuristics. Add five percent to your chances if you have a backdoor flush draw. Math does a great job at explaining poker in retrospect, but it removes all the external factors that influence the decision. Make Medium yours. See responses 4. Notice, though, that the simplified analysis I just gave is not rooted in equations and complex mathematics. Unfortunately, the game is too complex for us to memorize the exact strategy for all of it. Roman Orac in Towards Data Science. The other way is manual labor: analyzing hand histories, one-by-one, for hours on end. Everyone and their mother folded to three-bets, and everyone played face-up against continuation bets. About Help Legal.{/INSERTKEYS}{/PARAGRAPH} {PARAGRAPH}{INSERTKEYS}M any beginning poker players who become obsessed with learning the game often fall into the trap of delving too far into the theoretical side, ignoring the practical value of playing. The theoretical knowledge makes for great journalism, entertainment, and post-game analysis. Become a member. Anything beyond that is mostly for poker researchers who develop tools that players use to improve. If a lot of players end up doing this, and it becomes part of the meta, you have a meta-read that you can exploit. The game is simply too complex for any human being. We become especially bad at probability calculus on ten fingers. Stian Pedersen Follow. I have, however, discovered that an intricate understanding of math is not necessary to become a great poker player. These heuristics are much more crucial to the development of good, pragmatic play than the incredibly complex calculations required to find your optimal range, the equilibrium point of a calling range, or the optimal bet size given your range on a certain board at a certain point in the hand. The people who made money were the ones who found this hole in the meta, and exploited the hell out of it. Jun in Towards Data Science. If, for example, you realize that people overreact to cards that complete draws, then you can use that knowledge to your advantage. A lot of money has been made by exploiting the meta. And people hate losing. Great poker players are really good at using heuristics. Most players have gotten very good using a simple mix of mathematical concepts and an understanding of how the game is played. However advanced your analysis, your focus should always be on developing heuristics for playing the game. Mathematical analysis is very useful for figuring out how to play, but it does not equip you with the all-encompassing skills you need to become a full-time professional. Here, post-game analysis has been condensed into a heuristic that allows you to make quick decisions. More From Medium. A PhD in math is more of an obstacle to becoming a great poker player than a help.